forecast

Forecast of the annual maximum wet-bulb temperature (TW$_{\rm max}$) averaged over land between 30°S and 30°N. Place your mouse on the interactive chart to read the probability of setting new records. The current Oceanic Niño Index forecast for December 2023 is 2.0 based on IRI (last updated Nov 2023).

This forecast is based on Zhang et al. 2023.

References

2023

  1. Forecasting Tropical Annual Maximum Wet-Bulb Temperatures Months in Advance from the Current State of El Niño
    Yi Zhang, William R Boos, Isaac Held, and 2 more authors
    submitted, 2023